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Serie A · Regular Season - 5 · Italy

AS Roma v Inter

· Stadio Olimpico, Rome

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Match analysisPre-match brief

AS Roma v Inter: the model read

AS Roma meet Inter in the Serie A regular season - 5 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Inter, 78% against 60%. Attacking output favors AS Roma on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Inter at 58%; double chance reads AS Roma or draw 58%, Inter or draw 69%.

AS Roma arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Lecce, W 4-0 v Fiorentina, D 2-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, L 0-3 @ Brighton.

Inter are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Cagliari, W 4-1 v Monza, W 1-0 v Real Betis, W 2-1 @ Juventus.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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AS Roma

WLDWW10-4-6

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WALecce4-0
  • WHFiorentina4-0
  • DABorussia Dortmund2-2
  • LABrighton0-3
  • WANewport County4-1

Inter

DWWWW12-7-1

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WACagliari1-0
  • WHMonza4-1
  • WHReal Betis1-0
  • WAJuventus2-1
  • DAAC Milan1-1

Managers

G. Gasperini

Italy · 67

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Genoa2013–2016
  • Palermo2013–2013
  • Palermo2012–2013
  • Inter Milan2011–2011

C. Chivu

Romania · 45

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Internazionale U192021–2024

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.