Where the market is wrong on Sassuolo v Juventus
Sassuolo meet Juventus in the Serie A regular season - 4.
Juventus rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1443. Recent form leans Juventus, 75% against 40%. Attacking output favors Juventus on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Juventus at 66%; double chance reads Sassuolo or draw 55%, Juventus or draw 77%.
Sassuolo arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Torino, L 1-2 @ Atalanta, W 3-0 v Cesena, L 2-3 @ FC Augsburg.
Juventus are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Parma, W 1-0 @ Frosinone, W 2-0 v Palermo, L 1-2 v Inter.
Juventus hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo.
The market prices SAS at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
