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Serie A · Regular Season - 3 · Italy

Inter v Napoli

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Inter v Napoli: the model read

Inter meet Napoli in the Serie A regular season - 3.

The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Inter, 78% against 68%. Attacking output favors Inter on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Inter at 53%; double chance reads Inter or draw 67%, Napoli or draw 63%.

Inter arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Cagliari, W 4-1 v Monza, W 1-0 v Real Betis, W 2-1 @ Juventus.

Napoli are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Como, W 2-0 @ Genoa, W 6-2 v Aris Thessalonikis, D 1-1 v Celta Vigo.

Inter hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inter 2-2 Napoli.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Inter

DWWWW12-7-1

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WACagliari1-0
  • WHMonza4-1
  • WHReal Betis1-0
  • WAJuventus2-1
  • DAAC Milan1-1

Napoli

WDWWL12-3-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • LHComo1-2
  • WAGenoa2-0
  • WHAris Thessalonikis6-2
  • DHCelta Vigo1-1
  • WHOsasuna2-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

InterrecordNapoli
3
2
5 draws

Goals

13-12

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Inter

Recent
DLDDDW
Wins 3Goals 13-12

Biggest win 3-0

Napoli

Recent
DWDDDL
Wins 2Goals 12-13

Biggest win 3-1

  • Inter2-2Napoli
  • Napoli3-1Inter
  • Napoli1-1Inter
  • Inter1-1Napoli
  • Inter1-1Napoli
  • Napoli0-1Inter
  • Napoli0-3Inter
  • Napoli3-1Inter
  • Inter1-0Napoli
  • Napoli1-1Inter

Managers

C. Chivu

Romania · 45

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Internazionale U192021–2024

M. Allegri

Italy · 58

In charge since 2026 · 7 teams managed

  • AC Milan2025–2026
  • Juventus2021–2024
  • Juventus2014–2019
  • AC Milan2010–2014

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.