Venezia v Lecce: the model read
Venezia meet Lecce in the Serie A regular season - 1 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice.
Venezia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1500. Recent form leans Venezia, 75% against 48%. Attacking output favors Venezia on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Venezia at 69%; double chance reads Venezia or draw 77%, Lecce or draw 50%.
Venezia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Lecce, W 3-2 v Modena, D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29, L 3-4 @ Saint Etienne.
Lecce are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Venezia, L 0-2 @ Palermo, W 1-0 v SS Monopoli, W 5-2 v Bistrica.
Lecce hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Venezia 0-2 Lecce.
The market prices VEN at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Venezia: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
