Estrella de Berisso v Juventud de Bernal: the model read
Estrella de Berisso meet Juventud de Bernal in the Torneo Promocional Amateur regular season - 6. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% EST, 35% draw, 32% JUV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 29% against 22%. Attacking output favors Juventud de Bernal on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Estrella de Berisso at 51%; double chance reads Estrella de Berisso or draw 68%, Juventud de Bernal or draw 67%.
Estrella de Berisso arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Deportivo Metalurgico, L 0-4 @ SAT Moreno, L 1-2 v Juventud de Bernal, D 2-2 @ Nautico Hacoaj.
Juventud de Bernal are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Defensores Glew, L 0-4 v Provincial, W 2-1 @ Estrella de Berisso, L 1-5 v Deportivo Metalurgico.
Estrella de Berisso hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estrella de Berisso 1-2 Juventud de Bernal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
