Vado v Scafatese: the model read
Vado meet Scafatese in the Serie D - Championship Round final. The model makes Scafatese the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% VAD, 29% draw, 40% SCA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1758, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Scafatese, 84% against 73%. Attacking output favors Scafatese on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Scafatese at 56%; double chance reads Vado or draw 60%, Scafatese or draw 69%.
Vado arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 v Scafatese, W 2-0 v Barletta, L 1-2 @ Barletta, W 3-0 v Folgore Caratese.
Scafatese are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Avellino, W 6-0 @ Vado, W 1-0 v Desenzano Calvina, D 1-1 @ Desenzano Calvina.
Scafatese hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vado 0-6 Scafatese.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
