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Primera A · Clausura - 16 · Colombia

Santa Fe v Millonarios

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Santa Fe v Millonarios

Santa Fe meet Millonarios in the Primera A clausura - 16.

The baseline ratings are close, 1611 to 1555, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santa Fe, 69% against 59%. Attacking output favors Millonarios on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.

Santa Fe arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Junior, D 1-1 @ River Plate, D 0-0 v America de Cali, D 0-0 v River Plate.

Millonarios are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Internacional de Bogota, W 2-0 @ Llaneros, D 1-1 @ Águilas Doradas, W 2-0 v Deportivo Pasto.

Millonarios hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Millonarios 1-1 Santa Fe.

The market prices SAN at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Santa Fe: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Santa Fe

WDDDD8-9-1

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 0.61 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 50%

  • DAJunior1-1
  • DARiver Plate1-1
  • DHAmerica de Cali0-0
  • DHRiver Plate0-0
  • WHChico2-0

Millonarios

WWDWD7-6-4

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 35.3% · BTTS 47.1%

  • DHInternacional de Bogota0-0
  • WALlaneros2-0
  • DAÁguilas Doradas1-1
  • WHDeportivo Pasto2-0
  • WAJunior1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Santa FerecordMillonarios
2
5
3 draws

Goals

7-11

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Santa Fe

Recent
DLDWLL
Wins 2Goals 7-11

Biggest win 2-1

Millonarios

Recent
DWDLWW
Wins 5Goals 11-7

Biggest win 2-0

  • Millonarios1-1Santa Fe
  • Santa Fe0-1Millonarios
  • Millonarios0-0Santa Fe
  • Millonarios1-2Santa Fe
  • Santa Fe0-1Millonarios
  • Millonarios2-0Santa Fe
  • Santa Fe3-2Millonarios
  • Millonarios1-1Santa Fe
  • Santa Fe0-1Millonarios
  • Santa Fe0-1Millonarios

Managers

Jose Lopez Fierro

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Fabian Bustos

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.