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Primera A · Clausura - 14 · Colombia

Once Caldas v Llaneros

· Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Once Caldas v Llaneros: the model read

Once Caldas meet Llaneros in the Primera A clausura - 14 at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales. The model makes Once Caldas the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ONC, 32% draw, 30% LLA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Once Caldas, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Once Caldas at 55%; double chance reads Once Caldas or draw 70%, Llaneros or draw 63%.

Once Caldas arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Envigado, D 2-2 @ Junior, L 0-1 v Junior, W 1-0 v Atletico Nacional.

Llaneros are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Pereira, W 1-0 @ Chico, W 3-1 v Patriotas, L 0-1 @ Millonarios.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Llaneros 1-1 Once Caldas.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Once Caldas

DWLDW8-9-3

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 70%

  • WHEnvigado3-0
  • DAJunior2-2
  • LHJunior0-1
  • WHAtletico Nacional1-0
  • DAÁguilas Doradas2-2

Llaneros

WLWWW7-7-6

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • WHDeportivo Pereira1-0
  • WAChico1-0
  • WHPatriotas3-1
  • LAMillonarios0-1
  • WHDepor FC3-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Once CaldasrecordLlaneros
1
1
1 draw

Goals

2-3

for each

Avg goals

1.7

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Once Caldas

Recent
DLW
Wins 1Goals 2-3

Biggest win 1-0

Llaneros

Recent
DWL
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 2-0

  • Llaneros1-1Once Caldas
  • Llaneros2-0Once Caldas
  • Once Caldas1-0Llaneros

Managers

H. Herrera

Colombia · 68

In charge since 2023 · 4 clubs managed

  • Atlético Nacional2022–2022
  • Atlético Nacional2018–2018
  • Deportivo Pasto2010–2010

J. García

Colombia · 37

In charge since 2025 · 3 clubs managed

  • Águilas Doradas2024–2024
  • Real Santander2019–2023

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.