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Primera A · Clausura - 10 · Colombia

Once Caldas v Deportivo Cali

· Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Once Caldas v Deportivo Cali: the model read

Once Caldas meet Deportivo Cali in the Primera A clausura - 10 at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales. The model makes Deportivo Cali the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% ONC, 32% draw, 37% DEP.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 68%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Cali at 55%; double chance reads Once Caldas or draw 63%, Deportivo Cali or draw 69%.

Once Caldas arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Envigado, D 2-2 @ Junior, L 0-1 v Junior, W 1-0 v Atletico Nacional.

Deportivo Cali are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Jaguares, W 2-0 @ Alianza Lima, W 2-1 @ Real Santander, W 1-0 v Alianza Valledupar.

Once Caldas hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Cali 0-2 Once Caldas.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Once Caldas

DWLDW8-9-3

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 70%

  • WHEnvigado3-0
  • DAJunior2-2
  • LHJunior0-1
  • WHAtletico Nacional1-0
  • DAÁguilas Doradas2-2

Deportivo Cali

WWWWW11-5-4

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • WHJaguares2-0
  • WAAlianza Lima2-0
  • WAReal Santander2-1
  • WHAlianza Valledupar1-0
  • WAPopayan5-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Once CaldasrecordDeportivo Cali
5
1
4 draws

Goals

14-4

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Once Caldas

Recent
WDDWWW
Wins 5Goals 14-4

Biggest win 4-0

Deportivo Cali

Recent
LDDLLL
Wins 1Goals 4-14

Biggest win 1-0

  • Deportivo Cali0-2Once Caldas
  • Deportivo Cali0-0Once Caldas
  • Deportivo Cali1-1Once Caldas
  • Once Caldas1-0Deportivo Cali
  • Once Caldas4-1Deportivo Cali
  • Deportivo Cali0-1Once Caldas
  • Once Caldas4-0Deportivo Cali
  • Deportivo Cali0-0Once Caldas
  • Deportivo Cali1-1Once Caldas
  • Once Caldas0-1Deportivo Cali

Managers

H. Herrera

Colombia · 68

In charge since 2023 · 4 clubs managed

  • Atlético Nacional2022–2022
  • Atlético Nacional2018–2018
  • Deportivo Pasto2010–2010

A. Arias

Uruguay · 67

In charge since 2025 · 12 clubs managed

  • Junior2025–2025
  • Independiente Medellín2023–2024
  • Peñarol2022–2023
  • Independiente Santa Fe2022–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.