Where the market is wrong on Junior v Jaguares
Junior meet Jaguares in the Primera A clausura - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 36%. Attacking output favors Junior on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Junior arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Santa Fe, L 2-4 @ America de Cali, D 1-1 v Once Caldas, L 0-1 v Millonarios.
Jaguares are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v America de Cali, W 1-0 v Chico, D 1-1 v Once Caldas, L 0-1 @ Internacional de Bogota.
The market prices JUN at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on Jaguares: a 21.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
