Where the market is wrong on Deportes Tolima v Cucuta
Deportes Tolima meet Cucuta in the Primera A clausura - 8 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Deportes Tolima, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Deportes Tolima on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Deportes Tolima arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cucuta, L 1-3 @ Independiente del Valle, D 0-0 v Bucaramanga, L 0-1 v Independiente del Valle.
Cucuta are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Deportes Tolima, W 1-0 v Alianza Valledupar, W 1-0 @ Independiente Medellin, D 1-1 v Internacional de Bogota.
Deportes Tolima hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Tolima 2-1 Cucuta.
The market prices DEP at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Cucuta: a 16.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
