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Primera A · Clausura - 5 · Colombia

Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar

· Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar: the model read

Once Caldas meet Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A clausura - 5 at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales.

Once Caldas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1541 to 1400. Recent form leans Once Caldas, 59% against 33%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.

Once Caldas arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Chico, W 2-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 @ Junior, D 1-1 @ Jaguares.

Alianza Valledupar are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ America de Cali, L 1-5 v Atletico Nacional, L 0-1 @ Cucuta, D 0-0 v Deportivo Pereira.

Alianza Valledupar hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Once Caldas.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Once Caldas

LDDWL6-8-3

Scored 1.53 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 23.5% · BTTS 58.8%

  • LAChico0-2
  • WAFortaleza FC2-1
  • DAJunior1-1
  • DAJaguares1-1
  • LHAmerica de Cali0-1

Alianza Valledupar

LDLLL3-6-9

Scored 0.94 · Conceded 1.44 · Clean sheets 22.2% · BTTS 50%

  • LAAmerica de Cali0-3
  • LHAtletico Nacional1-5
  • LACucuta0-1
  • DHDeportivo Pereira0-0
  • LHBucaramanga2-3

Head-to-head

8 meetings

Once CaldasrecordAlianza Valledupar
1
4
3 draws

Goals

6-9

for each

Avg goals

1.9

per game

BTTS

63%

both scored

Over 2.5

38%

3+ goals

Once Caldas

Recent
DDLLWL
Wins 1Goals 6-9

Biggest win 1-0

Alianza Valledupar

Recent
DDWWLW
Wins 4Goals 9-6

Biggest win 2-1

  • Alianza Valledupar1-1Once Caldas
  • Alianza Valledupar0-0Once Caldas
  • Once Caldas1-2Alianza Valledupar
  • Alianza Valledupar1-0Once Caldas
  • Once Caldas1-0Alianza Valledupar
  • Alianza Valledupar2-1Once Caldas
  • Once Caldas1-2Alianza Valledupar
  • Once Caldas1-1Alianza Valledupar

Managers

Hernan Herrera

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Camilo Ayala

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.