Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar: the model read
Once Caldas meet Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A clausura - 5 at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales. The model makes Once Caldas the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% ONC, 31% draw, 26% ALI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Once Caldas, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Once Caldas at 62%; double chance reads Once Caldas or draw 74%, Alianza Valledupar or draw 57%.
Once Caldas arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Envigado, D 2-2 @ Junior, L 0-1 v Junior, W 1-0 v Atletico Nacional.
Alianza Valledupar are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Bucaramanga, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Cali, W 3-0 v Real Santander, D 1-1 @ Popayan.
Alianza Valledupar hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Once Caldas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
