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Primera B · Clausura - 13 · Colombia

Quindio v Real Cartagena

· Estadio Centenario, Armenia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Quindio v Real Cartagena: the model read

Quindio meet Real Cartagena in the Primera B clausura - 13 at Estadio Centenario, Armenia. The model makes Quindio the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% QUI, 33% draw, 33% REA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Real Cartagena on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Quindio at 51%; double chance reads Quindio or draw 67%, Real Cartagena or draw 66%.

Quindio arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Popayan, L 1-2 @ Deportes Tolima, L 0-1 @ Envigado, L 0-1 v Internacional Palmira.

Real Cartagena are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ America de Cali, D 1-1 @ Envigado, L 2-3 v Envigado, W 2-1 v Barranquilla.

Real Cartagena hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Cartagena 2-1 Quindio.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Quindio

WLLLL9-5-6

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • LHPopayan0-1
  • LADeportes Tolima1-2
  • LAEnvigado0-1
  • LHInternacional Palmira0-1
  • WATigres FC1-0

Real Cartagena

WWLDL8-6-6

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LAAmerica de Cali1-2
  • DAEnvigado1-1
  • LHEnvigado2-3
  • WHBarranquilla2-1
  • WABogota FC2-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

QuindiorecordReal Cartagena
2
5
3 draws

Goals

8-17

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Quindio

Recent
LDLWLL
Wins 2Goals 8-17

Biggest win 2-1

Real Cartagena

Recent
WDWLWW
Wins 5Goals 17-8

Biggest win 4-1

  • Real Cartagena2-1Quindio
  • Quindio0-0Real Cartagena
  • Real Cartagena4-1Quindio
  • Quindio2-1Real Cartagena
  • Real Cartagena3-0Quindio
  • Real Cartagena2-0Quindio
  • Quindio1-0Real Cartagena
  • Real Cartagena2-0Quindio
  • Quindio2-2Real Cartagena
  • Real Cartagena1-1Quindio

Managers

H. Rivera

Colombia · 55

In charge since 2025 · 9 clubs managed

  • Patriotas Boyacá2023–2024
  • Unión Magdalena2023–2023
  • Independiente Santa Fe2023–2023
  • Independiente Santa Fe2019–2021

M. Cardetti

Argentina · 50

In charge since 2025 · 9 clubs managed

  • Comerciantes Unidos2024–2025
  • Llaneros2023–2024
  • Real Cartagena2022–2023
  • Independiente Santa Fe2021–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.