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Primera B · Clausura - 12 · Colombia

Orsomarso v Quindio

· Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Orsomarso v Quindio: the model read

Orsomarso meet Quindio in the Primera B clausura - 12 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja. The model makes Quindio the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 26% ORS, 36% draw, 38% QUI.

Quindio rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1420. Recent form leans Quindio, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Quindio on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 14%. Draw no bet leans Quindio at 59%; double chance reads Orsomarso or draw 62%, Quindio or draw 74%.

Orsomarso arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-2 @ Leones FC, D 1-1 v Cucuta.

Quindio are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Popayan, L 1-2 @ Deportes Tolima, L 0-1 @ Envigado, L 0-1 v Internacional Palmira.

Orsomarso hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Quindio 2-2 Orsomarso.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Orsomarso

DDLDD4-8-8

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

  • DAFortaleza FC1-1
  • DHIndependiente Medellin1-1
  • LALeones FC0-2
  • DHCucuta1-1
  • DHLeones FC0-0

Quindio

WLLLL9-5-6

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • LHPopayan0-1
  • LADeportes Tolima1-2
  • LAEnvigado0-1
  • LHInternacional Palmira0-1
  • WATigres FC1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

OrsomarsorecordQuindio
3
2
5 draws

Goals

9-7

for each

Avg goals

1.6

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Orsomarso

Recent
DLDWDL
Wins 3Goals 9-7

Biggest win 2-0

Quindio

Recent
DWDLDW
Wins 2Goals 7-9

Biggest win 3-2

  • Quindio2-2Orsomarso
  • Orsomarso2-3Quindio
  • Quindio0-0Orsomarso
  • Quindio0-2Orsomarso
  • Orsomarso0-0Quindio
  • Orsomarso0-1Quindio
  • Quindio1-1Orsomarso
  • Quindio0-1Orsomarso
  • Orsomarso0-0Quindio
  • Orsomarso1-0Quindio

Managers

J. Sangiovanni

Colombia · 49

In charge since 2016

H. Rivera

Colombia · 55

In charge since 2025 · 9 clubs managed

  • Patriotas Boyacá2023–2024
  • Unión Magdalena2023–2023
  • Independiente Santa Fe2023–2023
  • Independiente Santa Fe2019–2021

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.