Where the market is wrong on Orsomarso v Tigres FC
Orsomarso meet Tigres FC in the Primera B clausura - 3 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 43%. Attacking output favors Tigres FC on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Orsomarso arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Tigres FC, L 0-1 v Real Cartagena, W 2-0 v Real Cundinamarca, D 1-1 @ Patriotas.
Tigres FC are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Orsomarso, L 0-1 @ Patriotas, W 3-0 @ Real Cartagena, W 1-0 v Union Magdalena.
The market prices ORS at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Tigres FC: a 11.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
