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Primera División · Clausura - 17 · Peru

UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau

· Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua

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Match analysisPre-match brief

UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau: the model read

UCV Moquegua meet Atletico Grau in the Primera División clausura - 17 at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 33% UCV, 34% draw, 33% ATL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors UCV Moquegua on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Atletico Grau at 50%; double chance reads UCV Moquegua or draw 67%, Atletico Grau or draw 67%.

UCV Moquegua arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ UTC Cajamarca, D 2-2 v Comerciantes Unidos, D 0-0 v Deportivo Garcilaso, D 0-0 @ FBC Melgar.

Atletico Grau are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sport Huancayo, W 3-1 v UTC Cajamarca, D 1-1 v Carlos A. Mannucci, D 1-1 @ Universitario.

Atletico Grau hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atletico Grau 1-0 UCV Moquegua.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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UCV Moquegua

WDDDD6-7-7

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • DAUTC Cajamarca0-0
  • DHComerciantes Unidos2-2
  • DHDeportivo Garcilaso0-0
  • DAFBC Melgar0-0
  • WHBentín Tacna Heroica3-2

Atletico Grau

WDDWL6-5-9

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • LASport Huancayo0-2
  • WHUTC Cajamarca3-1
  • DHCarlos A. Mannucci1-1
  • DAUniversitario1-1
  • WHMolinos El Pirata3-2

Head-to-head

1 meeting

UCV MoqueguarecordAtletico Grau
0
1
0 draws

Goals

0-1

for each

Avg goals

1.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

UCV Moquegua

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-1

Atletico Grau

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

  • Atletico Grau1-0UCV Moquegua

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.