UCV Moquegua v Alianza Atletico: the model read
UCV Moquegua meet Alianza Atletico in the Primera División clausura - 7 at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua. The model makes Alianza Atletico the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% UCV, 32% draw, 35% ALI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors Alianza Atletico on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Alianza Atletico at 52%; double chance reads UCV Moquegua or draw 65%, Alianza Atletico or draw 67%.
UCV Moquegua arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ UTC Cajamarca, D 2-2 v Comerciantes Unidos, D 0-0 v Deportivo Garcilaso, D 0-0 @ FBC Melgar.
Alianza Atletico are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Club Deportivo Los Chankas, L 1-4 @ Cusco, W 3-2 v Molinos El Pirata, W 2-1 @ Alianza Lima.
Alianza Atletico hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alianza Atletico 3-0 UCV Moquegua.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
