Where the market is wrong on Universitario v Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Universitario meet Club Deportivo Los Chankas in the Primera División clausura - 6 at Estadio Monumental, Lima.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 55%. Attacking output favors Universitario on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Universitario at 58%; double chance reads Universitario or draw 71%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw 60%.
Universitario arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Club Deportivo Los Chankas, W 3-2 @ FC Cajamarca, D 1-1 v Sporting Cristal, L 0-2 @ Cienciano.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Universitario, L 0-3 v FBC Melgar, D 1-1 @ Sport Huancayo, W 3-2 v Comerciantes Unidos.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Universitario 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
The market prices UNI at 76% implied. Our number sits apart on Club Deportivo Los Chankas: a 20.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
