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Primera División · Clausura - 3 · Peru

Cusco v UTC Cajamarca

· Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cusco v UTC Cajamarca: the model read

Cusco meet UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División clausura - 3 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. The model makes UTC Cajamarca the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% CUS, 30% draw, 37% UTC.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors UTC Cajamarca on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans UTC Cajamarca at 53%; double chance reads Cusco or draw 63%, UTC Cajamarca or draw 67%.

Cusco arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Universitario, W 4-1 v Alianza Atletico, L 1-2 v Cienciano, L 3-4 @ Deportivo Binacional.

UTC Cajamarca are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v UCV Moquegua, L 1-3 @ Atletico Grau, W 4-1 v Deportiva Agropecuaria, W 3-1 v FC Cajamarca.

UTC Cajamarca hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UTC Cajamarca 1-0 Cusco.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cusco

DLLWL6-4-10

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 60%

  • LAUniversitario1-2
  • WHAlianza Atletico4-1
  • LHCienciano1-2
  • LADeportivo Binacional3-4
  • DADeportivo Garcilaso0-0

UTC Cajamarca

DWWLD4-8-8

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • DHUCV Moquegua0-0
  • LAAtletico Grau1-3
  • WHDeportiva Agropecuaria4-1
  • WHFC Cajamarca3-1
  • DADeportivo Llacuabamba2-2

Head-to-head

9 meetings

CuscorecordUTC Cajamarca
2
4
3 draws

Goals

9-11

for each

Avg goals

2.2

per game

BTTS

78%

both scored

Over 2.5

56%

3+ goals

Cusco

Recent
LWDLDW
Wins 2Goals 9-11

Biggest win 2-1

UTC Cajamarca

Recent
WLDWDL
Wins 4Goals 11-9

Biggest win 1-0

  • UTC Cajamarca1-0Cusco
  • UTC Cajamarca1-2Cusco
  • Cusco1-1UTC Cajamarca
  • UTC Cajamarca2-1Cusco
  • Cusco1-1UTC Cajamarca
  • Cusco2-1UTC Cajamarca
  • UTC Cajamarca0-0Cusco
  • UTC Cajamarca2-1Cusco
  • UTC Cajamarca2-1Cusco

Managers

L. Flores

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Deportivo Binacional2018–2021

C. Ramacciotti

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 3 clubs managed

  • Cusco2020–2021
  • Sport Huancayo2019–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.