Where the market is wrong on Juan Pablo II College v Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College meet Cienciano in the Primera División clausura - 2 at Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape. The model makes Cienciano the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% JUA, 30% draw, 41% CIE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cienciano, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Cienciano on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Cienciano at 58%; double chance reads Juan Pablo II College or draw 59%, Cienciano or draw 70%.
Juan Pablo II College arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Cienciano, D 2-2 @ FC Cajamarca, D 0-0 @ Comerciantes Unidos, D 0-0 v Deportiva Agropecuaria.
Cienciano are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Juan Pablo II College, L 0-2 @ Lanus, L 1-3 v FBC Melgar, L 2-3 v ADT.
Cienciano hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Juan Pablo II College 2-0 Cienciano.
The market prices JUA at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Cienciano: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
