Where the market is wrong on AC Horsens v Viborg
AC Horsens meet Viborg in the Superliga regular season - 5 at CASA Arena, Horsens.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors AC Horsens on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans AC Horsens at 55%; double chance reads AC Horsens or draw 69%, Viborg or draw 62%.
AC Horsens arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Viborg, W 2-1 v Lyngby, W 2-1 @ Odense, L 0-2 v Brondby.
Viborg are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ AC Horsens, W 4-0 v FC Copenhagen, W 2-1 v Aarhus, D 0-0 @ Sonderjyske.
Viborg hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AC Horsens 2-3 Viborg.
The market prices AC at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on AC Horsens: a 16.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
