Where the market is wrong on Randers FC v Silkeborg
Randers FC meet Silkeborg in the Superliga regular season - 1 at Cepheus Park, Randers. The model makes Silkeborg the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 34% RAN, 28% draw, 39% SIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Silkeborg on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Silkeborg at 53%; double chance reads Randers FC or draw 61%, Silkeborg or draw 66%.
Randers FC arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Lechia Gdansk, W 3-1 v Notts County, D 2-2 @ Aalborg, D 2-2 @ Vejle.
Silkeborg are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Randers FC, W 2-1 @ Aalborg, W 6-0 v Thisted FC, L 0-1 @ Aarhus Fremad.
Silkeborg hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Randers FC 1-1 Silkeborg.
The market prices RAN at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Silkeborg: a 17.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
