Treaty United v UCD: the model read
Treaty United meet UCD in the FAI Cup round of 32 at Markets Field, Limerick. The model makes UCD the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 26% TRE, 29% draw, 45% UCD.
UCD rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1466. Recent form leans UCD, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors UCD on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans UCD at 63%; double chance reads Treaty United or draw 55%, UCD or draw 74%.
Treaty United arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Athlone Town, L 1-2 v UCD, W 1-0 @ Finn Harps, W 2-1 v Kerry.
UCD are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Cork City, W 2-1 @ Treaty United, L 0-6 @ Bray Wanderers, L 1-2 @ Longford Town.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
