Gateshead v South Shields

Gateshead meet South Shields in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes South Shields the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% GAT, 30% draw, 38% SOU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 58%. Attacking output favors South Shields on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans South Shields at 54%; double chance reads Gateshead or draw 62%, South Shields or draw 68%.

Gateshead arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Newcastle, D 3-3 @ Hebburn Town, D 1-1 @ Heaton Stannington, W 6-0 @ Blyth Town.

South Shields are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Harrogate Town, D 1-1 v Sunderland U21, L 0-2 v Kidderminster Harriers, W 1-0 v Buxton.

Gateshead hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: South Shields 1-3 Gateshead.

The market prices GAT at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on South Shields: a 8.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.