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PSV Eindhoven v FC Eindhoven

· Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on PSV Eindhoven v FC Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven meet FC Eindhoven in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. The model makes PSV Eindhoven the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 52% PSV, 25% draw, 24% FC .

PSV Eindhoven rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1477. Recent form leans PSV Eindhoven, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors PSV Eindhoven on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans PSV Eindhoven at 69%; double chance reads PSV Eindhoven or draw 76%, FC Eindhoven or draw 48%.

PSV Eindhoven arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 17 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Villarreal, W 7-3 v Union St. Gilloise, W 3-2 v Raków Częstochowa, D 1-1 v Antwerp.

FC Eindhoven are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ KRC Genk II, D 0-0 v Den Bosch, D 2-2 @ Willem II, W 2-0 @ NAC Breda.

PSV Eindhoven hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: PSV Eindhoven 3-2 FC Eindhoven.

The market prices PSV at 71% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Eindhoven: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

PSV Eindhoven

WDWWL13-2-5

Scored 2.90 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 90%

  • LHVillarreal1-3
  • WHUnion St. Gilloise7-3
  • WHRaków Częstochowa3-2
  • DHAntwerp1-1
  • WHTwente5-1

FC Eindhoven

DWDDL7-4-9

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LAKRC Genk II2-4
  • DHDen Bosch0-0
  • DAWillem II2-2
  • WANAC Breda2-0
  • DADe Treffers1-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

PSV EindhovenrecordFC Eindhoven
4
0
0 draws

Goals

14-5

for each

Avg goals

4.8

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

PSV Eindhoven

Recent
WWWW
Wins 4Goals 14-5

Biggest win 5-0

FC Eindhoven

Recent
LLLL
Wins 0Goals 5-14
  • PSV Eindhoven3-2FC Eindhoven
  • PSV Eindhoven3-2FC Eindhoven
  • PSV Eindhoven3-1FC Eindhoven
  • PSV Eindhoven5-0FC Eindhoven

Managers

P. Bosz

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 5 clubs managed

  • Lyon2021–2022
  • Bayer Leverkusen2019–2021
  • Borussia Dortmund2017–2017
  • Ajax2016–2017

E. Brandts

Head coach

In charge since 2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.