Carrick Rangers v Ballymena United

Carrick Rangers meet Ballymena United in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Ballymena United the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 34% CAR, 28% draw, 38% BAL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 60%. Attacking output favors Carrick Rangers on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Ballymena United at 53%; double chance reads Carrick Rangers or draw 62%, Ballymena United or draw 66%.

Carrick Rangers arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Ards, L 0-3 v Ballymena United, W 5-3 @ Queen's University, W 3-0 @ H&W Welders.

Ballymena United are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Portstewart, W 3-0 @ Carrick Rangers, W 3-2 @ Dundela, D 1-1 @ Queen's University.

Ballymena United hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Carrick Rangers 0-3 Ballymena United.

The market prices CAR at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Ballymena United: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.