Where the market is wrong on Gloggnitz v Rapid Wien II
Gloggnitz meet Rapid Wien II in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Rapid Wien II the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 36% GLO, 27% draw, 37% RAP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1598, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gloggnitz, 70% against 61%. Attacking output favors Gloggnitz on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 89%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Rapid Wien II at 50%; double chance reads Gloggnitz or draw 63%, Rapid Wien II or draw 64%.
Gloggnitz arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Rapid Wien II, D 1-1 @ SC Wiener Neustadt, W 3-2 v Weiz, W 4-1 @ St. Margarethen.
Rapid Wien II are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 20 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Gloggnitz, W 6-1 @ Fach-Donaufeld, D 2-2 @ Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, W 6-1 v Donau.
Rapid Wien II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gloggnitz 1-3 Rapid Wien II.
The market prices GLO at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Gloggnitz: a 9.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
