Guingamp v Concarneau: the model read
Guingamp meet Concarneau in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Concarneau the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 28% GUI, 34% draw, 38% CON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Concarneau, 43% against 25%. Attacking output favors Concarneau on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Concarneau at 57%; double chance reads Guingamp or draw 62%, Concarneau or draw 72%.
Guingamp arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Lorient, L 0-1 v Concarneau, L 1-3 @ Rennes, L 0-1 @ Clermont Foot.
Concarneau are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Laval, W 1-0 @ Guingamp, D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29, L 1-2 v Lorient.
Guingamp hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guingamp 0-1 Concarneau.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output