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HNL · Regular Season - 4 · Croatia

HNK Rijeka v Istra 1961

3-2Full time· Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka· Referee: Igor Pajač, Croatia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

HNK Rijeka v Istra 1961: the model read

HNK Rijeka meet Istra 1961 in the HNL regular season - 4 at Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka.

HNK Rijeka rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1466. Recent form leans HNK Rijeka, 71% against 45%. Attacking output favors Istra 1961 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans HNK Rijeka at 61%; double chance reads HNK Rijeka or draw 73%, Istra 1961 or draw 57%.

HNK Rijeka arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v FC Midtjylland, W 3-2 v Istra 1961, L 0-2 @ FC Midtjylland, L 0-2 @ NK Varazdin.

Istra 1961 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ HNK Rijeka, W 3-0 v NK Slaven Belupo, D 2-2 @ HNK Hajduk Split, L 2-3 v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

HNK Rijeka hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: HNK Rijeka 3-2 Istra 1961.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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HNK Rijeka

DLLWL12-3-4

Scored 1.42 · Conceded 0.79 · Clean sheets 57.9% · BTTS 26.3%

  • LHFC Midtjylland1-4
  • WHIstra 19613-2
  • LAFC Midtjylland0-2
  • LANK Varazdin0-2
  • DAIlves1-1

Istra 1961

DLDWL6-6-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LAHNK Rijeka2-3
  • WHNK Slaven Belupo3-0
  • DAHNK Hajduk Split2-2
  • LHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-3
  • DALecce2-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

HNK RijekarecordIstra 1961
5
3
2 draws

Goals

11-8

for each

Avg goals

1.9

per game

BTTS

20%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

HNK Rijeka

Recent
WDLWDL
Wins 5Goals 11-8

Biggest win 4-0

Istra 1961

Recent
LDWLDW
Wins 3Goals 8-11

Biggest win 2-0

  • HNK Rijeka3-2Istra 1961
  • Istra 19610-0HNK Rijeka
  • HNK Rijeka0-2Istra 1961
  • Istra 19611-2HNK Rijeka
  • HNK Rijeka0-0Istra 1961
  • Istra 19612-0HNK Rijeka
  • HNK Rijeka1-0Istra 1961
  • HNK Rijeka0-1Istra 1961
  • Istra 19610-1HNK Rijeka
  • HNK Rijeka4-0Istra 1961

Managers

Victor Sanchez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Kresimir Rezic

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.