Skip to content
Friendlies · Friendly International · World

Kenya v Lesotho

4-0Full time· Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Kenya v Lesotho: the model read

Kenya meet Lesotho in the Friendlies friendly international at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria.

Kenya rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1573 to 1420. Recent form leans Kenya, 60% against 37%. Attacking output favors Kenya on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.5 per match.

Kenya arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Lesotho, D 1-1 @ Lesotho, W 3-0 @ Grenada, D 1-1 v Estonia.

Lesotho are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Kenya, D 1-1 v Kenya, W 2-1 v Seychelles, D 0-0 @ Seychelles.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Your call

Predict the result and score. The crowd split feeds the Lemeister human-network signal.

Be the first to call this one.

Sign in to lock in your prediction. Sign in

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Kenya

LDWDW7-4-4

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.27 · Clean sheets 46.7% · BTTS 33.3%

  • WHLesotho4-0
  • DALesotho1-1
  • WAGrenada3-0
  • DHEstonia1-1
  • LASenegal0-8

Lesotho

LDWDL5-4-10

Scored 0.47 · Conceded 1.79 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 21.1%

  • LAKenya0-4
  • DHKenya1-1
  • WHSeychelles2-1
  • DASeychelles0-0
  • LHMalawi0-1

Managers

B. McCarthy

South Africa · 48

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Kenya2023–2026
  • AmaZulu2020–2022
  • Cape Town City2017–2019

Leslie Notsi

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded
Share

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.