Navbahor v Nasaf: the model read
Navbahor meet Nasaf in the Cup round of 16 at Markaziy Stadium, Namangan. The model makes Navbahor the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% NAV, 32% draw, 32% NAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Nasaf on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Navbahor at 52%; double chance reads Navbahor or draw 68%, Nasaf or draw 65%.
Navbahor arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Qizilqum, L 2-3 v Olmaliq, D 0-0 @ Nasaf, L 1-2 @ Bunyodkor.
Nasaf are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Mash'al, W 3-1 @ Bunyodkor, D 0-0 v Navbahor, D 2-2 @ Pakhtakor.
Nasaf hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nasaf 0-0 Navbahor.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
