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Baltic Cup · Semi-finals · World

Estonia v Faroe Islands

1-0Full time· Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu· Referee: K. Ratnieks

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Estonia v Faroe Islands: the model read

Estonia meet Faroe Islands in the Baltic Cup semi-finals at Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu.

The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1522, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Faroe Islands, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Faroe Islands on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Estonia arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lithuania, W 1-0 v Faroe Islands, L 0-2 @ Rwanda, D 1-1 @ Kenya.

Faroe Islands are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Latvia, L 0-1 @ Estonia, W 2-1 @ San Marino, W 1-0 v Kazakhstan.

Estonia hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estonia 1-0 Faroe Islands.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Estonia

WDLWW5-4-11

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 45%

  • WHLithuania1-0
  • WHFaroe Islands1-0
  • LARwanda0-2
  • DAKenya1-1
  • WACyprus4-2

Faroe Islands

LWWLW8-2-8

Scored 1.06 · Conceded 0.94 · Clean sheets 27.8% · BTTS 38.9%

  • WALatvia1-0
  • LAEstonia0-1
  • WASan Marino2-1
  • WHKazakhstan1-0
  • LACroatia1-3

Head-to-head

2 meetings

EstoniarecordFaroe Islands
2
0
0 draws

Goals

5-1

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Estonia

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 5-1

Biggest win 4-1

Faroe Islands

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-5
  • Estonia1-0Faroe Islands
  • Estonia4-1Faroe Islands

Managers

J. Henn

Estonia · 38

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Flora2018–2023
  • Flora2016–2016
  • Flora II2014–2015
  • Flora II2011–2011

E. Klakstein

Faroe Islands · 53

In charge since 2024 · 8 teams managed

  • Faroe Islands U172022–2022
  • Faroe Islands U172021–2022
  • Víkingur2020–2020
  • Skála2018–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.