Queen of the South v Aberdeen: the model read
Queen of the South meet Aberdeen in the League Cup group stage at Palmerston Park, Dumfries. The model makes Aberdeen the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% QUE, 30% draw, 36% ABE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Queen of the South on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Aberdeen at 52%; double chance reads Queen of the South or draw 64%, Aberdeen or draw 66%.
Queen of the South arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Queen's Park, L 1-4 v Aberdeen, W 3-0 @ Brora Rangers, D 1-1 v Kelty Hearts.
Aberdeen are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Kelty Hearts, W 4-1 @ Queen of the South, W 2-1 v Queen's Park, W 2-0 @ Brora Rangers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
