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League Cup · Group Stage · Scotland

Raith Rovers v Elgin City

3-1Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Raith Rovers v Elgin City: the model read

Raith Rovers meet Elgin City in the League Cup group stage. The model makes Raith Rovers the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% RAI, 30% draw, 31% ELG.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Raith Rovers, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Raith Rovers on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Raith Rovers at 57%; double chance reads Raith Rovers or draw 69%, Elgin City or draw 60%.

Raith Rovers arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Heart Of Midlothian, W 1-0 v Peterhead, D 1-1 @ Hamilton Academical, D 0-0 @ Kilmarnock.

Elgin City are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Hamilton Academical, L 0-1 v Kilmarnock, L 1-3 v Peterhead, L 1-3 @ Raith Rovers.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Raith Rovers

WDDWL9-5-6

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LHHeart Of Midlothian0-1
  • WHPeterhead1-0
  • DAHamilton Academical1-1
  • DAKilmarnock0-0
  • WHElgin City3-1

Elgin City

WLLLL7-4-9

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • LAHamilton Academical0-5
  • LHKilmarnock0-1
  • LHPeterhead1-3
  • LARaith Rovers1-3
  • WA Johnstone Burgh3-2

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

A. Hale

Scotland · 38

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Huntly2020–2023

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.