Queen of the South v Kelty Hearts: the model read
Queen of the South meet Kelty Hearts in the League Cup group stage at Palmerston Park, Dumfries. The model makes Queen of the South the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% QUE, 30% draw, 29% KEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 37%. Attacking output favors Queen of the South on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Queen of the South at 58%; double chance reads Queen of the South or draw 71%, Kelty Hearts or draw 59%.
Queen of the South arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Queen's Park, L 1-4 v Aberdeen, W 3-0 @ Brora Rangers, D 1-1 v Kelty Hearts.
Kelty Hearts are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Aberdeen, W 3-2 v Brora Rangers, L 0-2 v Queen's Park, D 1-1 @ Queen of the South.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
