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ASEAN Championship · Group Stage - 4 · World

Indonesia v Vietnam

· Pakansari Stadium, Bogor Regency

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Indonesia v Vietnam: the model read

Indonesia meet Vietnam in the ASEAN Championship group stage - 4 at Pakansari Stadium, Bogor Regency. The model makes Vietnam the most likely outcome at 57%, with the full read 19% IND, 24% draw, 57% VIE.

Vietnam rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1822 to 1541. Recent form leans Vietnam, 93% against 53%. Attacking output favors Vietnam on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Vietnam at 75%; double chance reads Indonesia or draw 43%, Vietnam or draw 81%.

Indonesia arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Cambodia, W 1-0 v Mozambique, W 3-0 v Oman, L 0-1 v Bulgaria.

Vietnam are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 21 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Timor-Leste, W 4-0 v Myanmar, W 2-1 v Gangwon FC, W 2-1 v Yongin City.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Indonesia

WLWWW9-2-8

Scored 1.58 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 47.4% · BTTS 21.1%

  • WHCambodia5-1
  • WHMozambique1-0
  • WHOman3-0
  • LHBulgaria0-1
  • WHSt. Kitts and Nevis4-0

Vietnam

WWWWW18-1-1

Scored 2.85 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WATimor-Leste7-0
  • WHMyanmar4-0
  • WHGangwon FC2-1
  • WHYongin City2-1
  • WASiheung Citizen6-0

Managers

S. McMenemy

Head coach

In charge since 2019

P. Troussier

Head coach

In charge since 2023

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.