Plzen v Polessya: the model read
Plzen meet Polessya in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Polessya the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 30% PLZ, 28% draw, 42% POL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 58%. Attacking output favors Polessya on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Polessya at 58%; double chance reads Plzen or draw 58%, Polessya or draw 70%.
Plzen arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Slovan Liberec, W 2-0 v Polessya, L 3-5 v BSC Young Boys, D 1-1 v FC Copenhagen.
Polessya are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ FC Copenhagen, D 3-3 v FC Copenhagen, L 0-2 @ Plzen, L 1-3 v Shimizu S-pulse.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
