Independiente Medellin v Vasco DA Gama: the model read
Independiente Medellin meet Vasco DA Gama in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana round of 32 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin. The model makes Independiente Medellin the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% IND, 31% draw, 33% VAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Independiente Medellin, 61% against 50%. Attacking output favors Independiente Medellin on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Independiente Medellin at 53%; double chance reads Independiente Medellin or draw 67%, Vasco DA Gama or draw 63%.
Independiente Medellin arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Vasco DA Gama, W 3-2 v Deportivo Pasto, D 2-2 v Vasco DA Gama, W 2-1 v Cucuta.
Vasco DA Gama are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Independiente Medellin, D 1-1 v Mirassol, D 2-2 @ Independiente Medellin, L 0-1 @ Vitoria.
Vasco DA Gama hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Independiente Medellin.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output