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Primera División RFEF - Play Offs · Promotion Play Offs · Spain

Sabadell v Real Madrid II

3-0Full time· Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sabadell v Real Madrid II: the model read

Sabadell meet Real Madrid II in the Primera División RFEF - Play Offs promotion play offs at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell. The model makes Sabadell the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% SAB, 30% draw, 32% REA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Real Madrid II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Sabadell at 54%; double chance reads Sabadell or draw 68%, Real Madrid II or draw 62%.

Sabadell arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Espanyol, L 0-2 @ Castellón, W 4-0 v Zamora, L 0-1 @ Zamora.

Real Madrid II are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Sabadell, W 2-0 v Sabadell, D 2-2 @ Guadalajara, D 3-3 v Arenas Getxo.

Real Madrid II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sabadell 3-0 Real Madrid II.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sabadell

WLWLD9-5-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 35%

  • DAEspanyol1-1
  • LACastellón0-2
  • WHZamora4-0
  • LAZamora0-1
  • WHReal Madrid II3-0

Real Madrid II

LDDWL7-8-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • LASabadell0-3
  • WHSabadell2-0
  • DAGuadalajara2-2
  • DHArenas Getxo3-3
  • LACacereño1-4

Head-to-head

4 meetings

SabadellrecordReal Madrid II
1
3
0 draws

Goals

3-7

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Sabadell

Recent
WLLL
Wins 1Goals 3-7

Biggest win 3-0

Real Madrid II

Recent
LWWW
Wins 3Goals 7-3

Biggest win 3-0

  • Sabadell3-0Real Madrid II
  • Real Madrid II2-0Sabadell
  • Sabadell0-2Real Madrid II
  • Real Madrid II3-0Sabadell

Managers

David Movilla

Head coach

In charge since 2025 · 3 clubs managed

  • Real Unión2022–2023
  • Zamora2019–2021
Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.