Mamoré v CAP: the model read
Mamoré meet CAP in the Mineiro - 2 regular season - 10. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 29% MAM, 38% draw, 33% CAP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 40%. Attacking output favors CAP on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 16%, over 2.5 goals around 9%. Draw no bet leans CAP at 53%; double chance reads Mamoré or draw 67%, CAP or draw 71%.
Mamoré arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Uberaba, W 2-1 v Uberaba, W 1-0 v CAP, L 0-1 @ Uberaba.
CAP are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Democrata SL, L 1-4 v Democrata SL, L 0-1 @ Mamoré, L 0-1 v Guarani MG.
Mamoré hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mamoré 1-0 CAP.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
