CAP v Guarani MG: the model read
CAP meet Guarani MG in the Mineiro - 2 regular season - 9. The model makes Guarani MG the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% CAP, 34% draw, 35% GUA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Guarani MG on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Guarani MG at 53%; double chance reads CAP or draw 65%, Guarani MG or draw 69%.
CAP arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Democrata SL, L 1-4 v Democrata SL, L 0-1 @ Mamoré, L 0-1 v Guarani MG.
Guarani MG are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v BOA, W 1-0 @ CAP, D 2-2 @ Mamoré, W 2-0 v Caldense.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CAP 0-1 Guarani MG.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
