Where the market is wrong on Suduva Marijampole v FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole meet FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the A Lyga regular season - 31 at Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole.
The baseline ratings are close, 1662 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Suduva Marijampole, 74% against 63%. Attacking output favors FK Zalgiris Vilnius on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Suduva Marijampole arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, L 1-5 @ Kauno Žalgiris, W 2-1 @ TransINVEST Vilnius, W 2-1 @ Šiauliai.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Suduva Marijampole, W 1-0 v Šiauliai, L 0-2 @ Panevėžys, W 2-0 v Džiugas Telšiai.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Suduva Marijampole 0-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
The market prices SUD at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Suduva Marijampole: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
