Where the market is wrong on Banga v Panevėžys
Banga meet Panevėžys in the A Lyga regular season - 24 at Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1471, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Banga, 61% against 44%. Attacking output favors Banga on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Banga arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Panevėžys, D 0-0 v Kauno Žalgiris, D 1-1 @ Hegelmann Litauen, W 3-2 @ FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
Panevėžys are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Banga, W 2-0 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, L 0-2 @ Suduva Marijampole, L 0-1 @ Šiauliai.
The market prices BAN at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Panevėžys: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
