Where the market is wrong on Fraserburgh v Formartine United
Fraserburgh meet Formartine United in the Football League - Highland League highland league - 10.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 63%. Attacking output favors Fraserburgh on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
Fraserburgh arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Formartine United, L 0-7 @ Elgin City, L 1-3 @ Deveronvale, D 2-2 v Clachnacuddin.
Formartine United are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fraserburgh, D 1-1 @ Clachnacuddin, L 2-3 v Dundee United II, D 1-1 v Nairn County.
Fraserburgh hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fraserburgh 1-1 Formartine United.
The market prices FRA at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
