Progreso v Albion FC: the model read
Progreso meet Albion FC in the Primera División - Apertura torneo intermedio - 4 at Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo. The model makes Albion FC the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 24% PRO, 31% draw, 45% ALB.
Albion FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Albion FC, 60% against 30%. Attacking output favors Albion FC on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Albion FC at 65%; double chance reads Progreso or draw 55%, Albion FC or draw 76%.
Progreso arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Maldonado, L 0-2 @ Wanderers, L 1-2 v Albion FC, W 2-1 @ Danubio.
Albion FC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Juventud, D 1-1 @ Deportivo Maldonado, W 2-1 @ Progreso, L 1-2 v Atletico Torque.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Progreso 1-2 Albion FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
