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Uganda v Madagascar

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Uganda v Madagascar: the model read

Uganda meet Madagascar in the Friendlies friendly international.

The baseline ratings are close, 1563 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 56% against 53%. Attacking output favors Uganda on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.

Uganda arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Nigeria, D 1-1 v Tanzania, L 1-3 @ Tunisia, L 0-4 @ Morocco.

Madagascar are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Morocco, D 1-1 @ Equatorial Guinea, W 5-2 @ Kyrgyzstan, W 2-0 v Equatorial Guinea.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Uganda

WLLDL8-2-6

Scored 1.56 · Conceded 1.44 · Clean sheets 31.3% · BTTS 50%

  • LHNigeria1-3
  • DHTanzania1-1
  • LATunisia1-3
  • LAMorocco0-4
  • WHChad2-1

Madagascar

LWWDL8-4-7

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LAMorocco0-4
  • DAEquatorial Guinea1-1
  • WAKyrgyzstan5-2
  • WHEquatorial Guinea2-0
  • LAMali1-4

Managers

P. Put

Belgium · 69

In charge since 2024 · 8 teams managed

  • Congo2021–2023
  • Saif2020–2021
  • Guinea2018–2019
  • USM Alger2016–2017

C. Martins

France · 56

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • Belouizdad2024–2024
  • Paradou AC2023–2024
  • Libya2022–2023
  • Mauritania2014–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.