Oyonesa v Arnedo: the model read
Oyonesa meet Arnedo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 final. The model makes Arnedo the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 23% OYO, 29% draw, 48% ARN.
Arnedo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1581. Recent form leans Arnedo, 83% against 63%. Attacking output favors Arnedo on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Arnedo at 67%; double chance reads Oyonesa or draw 52%, Arnedo or draw 77%.
Oyonesa arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Arnedo, D 0-0 v Arnedo, W 2-0 @ Varea, D 0-0 v Varea.
Arnedo are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Tropezón, L 0-1 @ Tropezón, W 3-2 v Oyonesa, D 0-0 @ Oyonesa.
Arnedo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Arnedo 3-2 Oyonesa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output