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J1 League · 11th place · Japan

Urawa v Fagiano Okayama

0-2Full time· Saitama Stadium, Saitama· Referee: T. Mikuriya

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Urawa v Fagiano Okayama: the model read

Urawa meet Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League 11th place at Saitama Stadium, Saitama. The model makes Urawa the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% URA, 30% draw, 33% FAG.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Urawa on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Urawa at 52%; double chance reads Urawa or draw 67%, Fagiano Okayama or draw 64%.

Urawa arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 4-5 @ FC Ryukyu, L 0-2 v Fagiano Okayama, D 1-1 @ Fagiano Okayama, L 0-1 @ Machida Zelvia.

Fagiano Okayama are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Werder Bremen, W 2-1 @ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, L 1-3 @ SC Paderborn 07, L 0-2 @ SV Wehen.

Urawa hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Urawa 0-2 Fagiano Okayama.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Urawa

DLDLL6-5-9

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • LAFC Ryukyu4-5
  • LHFagiano Okayama0-2
  • DAFagiano Okayama1-1
  • LAMachida Zelvia0-1
  • DHFC Tokyo0-0

Fagiano Okayama

WLLWL8-4-8

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LAWerder Bremen0-2
  • WAMetalist 1925 Kharkiv2-1
  • LASC Paderborn 071-3
  • LASV Wehen0-2
  • WAUrawa2-0

Head-to-head

4 meetings

UrawarecordFagiano Okayama
2
1
1 draw

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Urawa

Recent
LDWW
Wins 2Goals 3-3

Biggest win 1-0

Fagiano Okayama

Recent
WDLL
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 2-0

  • Urawa0-2Fagiano Okayama
  • Fagiano Okayama1-1Urawa
  • Fagiano Okayama0-1Urawa
  • Urawa1-0Fagiano Okayama

Managers

M. Skorża

Poland · 53

In charge since 2024 · 9 clubs managed

  • Urawa Reds2023–2023
  • Lech Poznań2021–2022
  • UAE U232018–2020
  • Pogon Szczecin2017–2017

T. Kiyama

Japan · 53

In charge since 2022 · 6 clubs managed

  • Vegalta Sendai2019–2020
  • Montedio Yamagata2017–2019
  • Ehime2015–2016
  • JEF United2012–2012

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.