Al Kahrabaa v Al-Karma: the model read
Al Kahrabaa meet Al-Karma in the Iraqi League regular season - 38. The model makes Al-Karma the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 30% AL , 31% draw, 39% AL-.
The baseline ratings are close, 1483 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Karma, 55% against 44%. Attacking output favors Al Kahrabaa on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Al-Karma at 57%; double chance reads Al Kahrabaa or draw 61%, Al-Karma or draw 70%.
Al Kahrabaa arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Duhok, D 2-2 v Gharraf, W 1-0 @ Baghdad, W 2-1 v Newroz.
Al-Karma are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Diyala, D 1-1 @ Al Talaba, D 1-1 @ Naft Maysan, W 3-0 v Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Al-Karma 4-0 Al Kahrabaa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
