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Asian Cup · Group Stage - 2 · World

Indonesia v Qatar

· Aramco Stadium, Khobar

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Indonesia v Qatar: the model read

Indonesia meet Qatar in the Asian Cup group stage - 2 at Aramco Stadium, Khobar.

The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Indonesia, 50% against 26%. Attacking output favors Indonesia on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.6 per match.

Indonesia arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Singapore, L 0-3 v Vietnam, W 3-0 @ Timor-Leste, W 5-1 v Cambodia.

Qatar are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 0-6 @ Canada, D 1-1 v Switzerland, D 0-0 v El Salvador.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Indonesia

WWWLD8-3-8

Scored 1.63 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 26.3%

  • DASingapore1-1
  • LHVietnam0-3
  • WATimor-Leste3-0
  • WHCambodia5-1
  • WHMozambique1-0

Qatar

LDDLL2-5-10

Scored 0.65 · Conceded 1.88 · Clean sheets 17.6% · BTTS 47.1%

  • LABosnia & Herzegovina1-3
  • LACanada0-6
  • DHSwitzerland1-1
  • DHEl Salvador0-0
  • LARep. Of Ireland0-1

Managers

P. Kluivert

Netherlands · 49

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Adana Demirspor2023–2023
  • Curaçao2021–2021
  • Curaçao2016–2016
  • Curaçao2015–2015

Lopetegui

Spain · 59

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • West Ham United2024–2025
  • Qatar2023–2026
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2022–2023
  • Sevilla2019–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.